Monday Links: Global Margin Call
- February 8th, 2010
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“(A)ny timer of the U.S. stock market who did not beat the market during 2000-2009 has some explaining to do.” (CXO Advisory Group)
“It may be hard to believe, but 35% of the S&P 500’s gains since the start of 2009 have now been erased over a span of less than 14 trading days.” (Bespoke)
Is the secular bull market in bonds coming to an end? (Big Picture)
Why haven’t higher sovereign CDS rates been reflected in bond yields? (FT Alphaville)
PIMCO favors emerging market (and German) bonds. (WSJ)
Peaks in leading economic indicators are not great for market returns. (The Money Game also FT Alphaville)
Why is lumber continuing to power higher? (The Pragmatic Capitalist)
Listening Nouriel Roubini would have been a mistake last year. (Telegraph UK)
The volatility of the VIX has surged. (Daily Options Report also WSJ)
ETFs have joined the rest of the mutual fund complex in a battle of branding. (New Rules of Investing)
Some Bogleheads are anxious that Vanguard is getting into alternative investments. (FT)
Roger Nusbaum, “Investment products aren’t greed-causing or speculative in and of themselves. They may create the means with which to express those behaviors.” (TheStreet)
“For all the concern over the $1.6 trillion U.S. budget deficit and record debt load, the dollar is as valuable now as 35 years ago.” (Bloomberg)
Where will the Euro bottom? (VIX and More)
Simon Johnson, “The euro depreciates, the dollar strengthens, and our path to recovery starts to run more uphill.” (Baseline Scenario)
Is Greece the first step in a “global margin call“? (naked capitalism)
John Thain takes over CIT Group (CIT). (NYTimes, naked capitalism, FT Alphaville)
Felix Salmon, “It’s crucial, in financial markets, that investors walk into risky asset classes with their eyes open, rather than kidding themselves that they can simply hedge those risks away by buying a fancy financial product from Citigroup.” (Reuters also Risk)
Bryan Caplan, “None of this means that mood is the whole story. Mood, market conditions, and policy all interact.” (EconLog)
Deflation is back on the table. (Econbrowser)
Males aged 25-54 are increasingly not employed. (Brad DeLong)
Is a value-added tax or VAT the inevitable fix to the budget deficit? (CNNMoney)
Economic populism is a function of the poor economy. (New Yorker)
Is Canada facing its own housing bubble? (WSJ)
“I take issue with Krugman’s “partisanization” of economics – if I could coin a new word” (Kid Dynamite)
“Despite all my jurisprudential research, I have been unable to locate a statutory basis for the right to cheap insurance.” (finem respice)
How winning streaks end: “Winners become sinners when confidence turns into complacency and arrogance.” (HBR)
Jeff Jarvis, “If you are selling a scarcity — an inventory — of any nonphysical goods today, stop, turn around, and start selling value — outcomes — instead. Or you’re screwed.” (Buzz Machine)
Ten reasons Sherlock Holmes is the ideal VC. (peHUB)
Check out who made this “all star team of online finance.” (New Rules of Investing)
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Research Recap » Blog Archive » S&P Outlook for Southern European Sovereign Debt Suggests Further Downgrades
[post] S&P Outlook for Southern European Sovereign Debt Suggests Further Downgrades http://bit.ly/dzFy5K
(www.researchrecap.com) • via ResearchRecap 2 minutes ago -
Apple Grabs 25% of the Smartphone Market, Android Doubles Market Share
comScore has released a report on the state of the US mobile market from September to December 2009, and it shows that the rece...
(mashable.com) • via mashable about 2 hours ago • Tickers: $AAPL $RIMM $MSFT $GOOG -
Bespoke Investment Group - Think BIG - Percentage of Oversold Stocks At Highest Level Since March 2009
Bespoke Investment Group - Think BIG - Percentage of Oversold Stocks At Highest Level Since March 2009
(www.bespokeinvest.com) • via bespokeinvest about 2 hours ago • Tickers: $SPX -
February 8, 2010 Stock Market Recap - Trader Mike
February 8, 2010 Stock Market Recap
(tradermike.net) • via TraderMike about 3 hours ago • Tickers: $SPX $COMPQ -
China Becomes Oil ETF’s No. 4 Holder, Buys SPDR Gold Trust - Bloomberg.com
China Becomes Oil ETF’s No. 4 Holder, Buys SPDR Gold Trust
(www.bloomberg.com) • via alea_ about 3 hours ago • Tickers: $USO $GLD -
Citi: Investor Love For Emerging Markets Disintegrates As Redemptions Soar
Citi: Investor Love For Emerging Markets Disintegrates As Redemptions Soar
(www.businessinsider.com) • via businessinsider about 3 hours ago • Tickers: $EEM -
peHUB » Afraid to Lose Money? Congratulations, You Have a Healthy Amygdala (or You are a VC)
Afraid to Lose Money? Congratulations, You Have a Healthy Amygdala (or you are a VC)
(www.pehub.com) • via peHUB about 3 hours ago -
Wise old men of American finance are called back to fight recession | Business | The Observer
Paul Volcker, Warren Buffett and George Soros have new status as America sees the value of age and experience.
(www.guardian.co.uk) • via moneyscience about 3 hours ago -
US Strategy: Not Going Away Hedgeye Blog
Hedgeye U.S. Strategy - Not Going Away (new post) http://www.hedgeyeblog.com/?p=88 $RSW
(www.hedgeyeblog.com) • via Hedgeye about 3 hours ago • Tickers: $RSW -
Goldman Sachs joins the blogosphere | Analysis & Opinion | Reuters
[great move] Goldman Sachs joins the blogosphere http://bit.ly/9PSXXr
(blogs.reuters.com) • via alea_ about 3 hours ago • Tickers: $GS -
Will Berkshire Pop Friday Upon Joining S&P 500? - Barrons.com
Why shares of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway may pop on Friday.
(online.barrons.com) • via barronsonline about 15 hours ago • Tickers: $BRKA $BRKB $SPY -
Doug Kass: The US Consumer Is Sick And You Should Go Short Retail With Impunity
Doug Kass: The US Consumer Is Sick And You Should Go Short Retail With Impunity
(www.businessinsider.com) • via SellPuts about 15 hours ago • Tickers: $XRT $RTH -
Google's Gmail Upgrade: Gunning for Facebook and Twitter - DailyFinance
Google is now preparing an assault on Facebook and Twitter with new social tools for Gmail...
(www.dailyfinance.com) • via daily_finance about 15 hours ago • Tickers: $GOOG $FBOOK $TWIT -
Bespoke Investment Group - Think BIG - 2010 Now Worse Than 2009?
Don't look now but 2010 is off to a worse start than 2009.
(www.bespokeinvest.com) • via bespokeinvest about 18 hours ago • Tickers: $SPX -
FT Alphaville » The World Cup pairs trade (ex-Spain)
Should we take World Cup-based trades as seriously as we do the Super Bowl Indicator?
(ftalphaville.ft.com) • via FTAlphaville about 18 hours ago • Tickers: $EZA $EWZ $EWP -
EA Reports Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2010 Results
REDWOOD CITY, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: ERTS - News) today announced preliminary financial results...
(finance.yahoo.com) • via stein about 19 hours ago • Tickers: $ERTS -
US Bankruptcies Rise 7% Year over Year
Despite enjoying 2 full quarters of 'recovery', and coming off a hefty 5.7% GDP quarter - the reality is not so happy down on M...
(www.fundmymutualfund.com) • via fundmyfund about 20 hours ago -
Two $EURUSD Set Ups to Watch.
Probably like many of you, the Red Bull cans are piling up as your try and stay awake today. Boring markets means accumulation...
(stocktwitsfx.com) • via ragheehorner about 20 hours ago • Tickers: $EURUSD -
Gmail and Social Media Meet-Up, No Clear Winners (GOOG, NWS, NYT) – 24/7 Wall St.
Gmail and Social Media Meet-Up, No Clear Winners (GOOG, NWS, NYT) http://bit.ly/bYFis2
(247wallst.com) • via 247WallSt about 21 hours ago -
Hennessee Group: Hedge Fund Indices Decline In January | FINalternatives
According to Hennessee Group distressed debt and arbitrage strategies had positive returns in January.
(www.finalternatives.com) • via finalternatives about 22 hours ago -
Back to the Future for Venture Capital
The only chance of a successful future for venture capital may be a return to the past.
(www.iimagazine.com) • via Institutional_I about 22 hours ago -
CME Had Busiest Day Since '08 - WSJ.com
CME Had Busiest Day Since '08 - Another indication of fear and market volatility.
(online.wsj.com) • via WSJMarkets 1 day ago • Tickers: $CME -
Bespoke Investment Group - Think BIG - Up In Smoke: One Third of the Gains Since the Start of 2009
Up In Smoke: One Third of the Gains Since the Start of 2009.
(www.bespokeinvest.com) • via bespokeinvest 1 day ago • Tickers: $SPX -
Citi plans crisis derivatives - Risk.net
WOW: Citi considering launching the first derivatives intended to pay out in the event of a financial crisis http://bit.ly/crc3...
(www.risk.net) • via alea_ 1 day ago • Tickers: $C -
Stop selling scarcity - BuzzMachine
"If you are selling a scarcity — an inventory — of any nonphysical goods today, stop, turn around, and start selling value — ou...
(www.buzzmachine.com) • via abnormalreturns 1 day ago -
Superbowl team: online finance's best | New Rules of Investing
Super Bowl of finance blogging-got offense, defense, refs and cheerleaders. Who do you think wins?
(newrulesofinvesting.com) • via newrulesinvest 1 day ago -
Bank Securitization Woes Only Beginning
We remarked last week that the FDIC had put forward a proposal for fixing the securitization market. To be a bit more precise, ...
(www.nakedcapitalism.com) • via niubi 1 day ago -
U.S. Strategy: Trade the Range
The S&P 500 finished higher on Friday by 0.29%. Intraday the S&P500 for the immediate term was oversold, so we bought the SPY;...
(www.hedgeyeblog.com) • via hedgeye 1 day ago -
dshort.com: Mega-Bear with the S&P since 2000
Updating the three "mega-bears" comparison http://bit.ly/9PNNJt
(dshort.com) • via pkedrosky 1 day ago -
VIX and More: Chart of the Week: Where and When Will the Euro Bottom?
Chart of the Week: Where and When Will the Euro Bottom?
(vixandmore.blogspot.com) • via VIXandMore 1 day ago • Tickers: $EURUSD
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